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Sevilla — Roma: 31.05.2023

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Sevilla - Roma: Prediction (31 May 2023), Europa League Final

On Wednesday, the Puskas Arena in Budapest welcomes the final of the Europa League, which is shaping up to be extremely unpredictable. Here is the hegemon of the tournament Sevilla. The team has won in four of the last nine editions. The predominance of Spanish teams in this competition is serious, as they have not triumphed in only five out of a total of thirteen seasons of this tournament since it was named Europa League. Roma can become the first Italian champion in this competition, and Parma last lifted the trophy for the UEFA Cup in 1999.

Both teams deserve to win the final, and it’s unnecessary to even mention it, but it’s a good introductory sentence for the following facts. Sevilla had a terrible autumn in La Liga, even being in the relegation zone. However, the phenomenal performances in the Europa League had a refreshing effect on the team, which recorded a series of good results on its home stage as well. Roma, on the other hand, can successively go from the Conference League to the Champions League, and today Mourinho can add another European trophy to his business card.

Roma’s path to the final began in the group stage of the competition, while Sevilla joined the knockout stage, crashing out of the Champions League. It has not been easy for both teams to get here, with the symbolic hosts knocking out some big European names, and the visitors showing that they can play each game differently.

In the first two elimination rounds, Sevilla traded home wins with PSV and Fenerbahce, but the one in Spain was more expressive. The team was phenomenal at home and against Manchester United, whom they beat 3-0 after a 2-2 draw at Old Trafford. In the semi-finals, Juventus was also made a victim. The two meetings ended in a 1:1 score, but Lamela was accurate in extra time in the second leg in Spain.

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We can say that Roma was lucky in the draw and hit a lighter stream. Mourinho managed to avoid serious names, although there was no shortage of difficult opponents. The «Wolves», for example, lost to Salzburg and Feyenoord away, but at the «Olimpico» they got their own. Real Sociedad were eliminated with two clean sheets, and this also happened in the semi-final with Bayer Leverkusen, who were eliminated by just one goal in both matches.

I wish we could witness a beastly show and many goals, which both teams are capable of, but today I think they will not betray their style. Here is Mourinho, and he knows perfectly well how to play such important matches. First of all, the stable performance in defense will be placed before both teams. For sure, extra time and penalties are in the plans of both opponents, and a possible goal lead will be protected at all costs.

Of course, the bookmakers are of the same opinion, as a bet for under 2.5 goals has a negligible coefficient. In the tournament, only 25% of Sevilla’s goals came in the first half. Roma scored only once in the first half hour of the matches in the Europa League season, and they have already scored twelve. In the first halves, the «Wolves» scored 27% of their total number of goals in the tournament. Also, the Italian team has yet to score in the first 30 minutes of play. This is part of the statistics, but here I would bet on the routine that they have in this tournament the Sevilla team and therefore I will bet on a win for them by making a light insurance with a bet of 1 DNB at odds of 1.85 at the bookmaker 1xbet. Good luck!

Prediction: 1 DNB
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